Sunshine, tee times, and skirts – it's officially baseball weather. In our (possibly) monthly feature, we'll take a look at starting pitchers who should be bet ON and starting pitchers who should be bet AGAINST.

PLAY

Ubaldo Jimenez (COL): For one thing, it's pretty sweet to be cheering for a guy named Ubaldo. More importantly though, Jimenez might be the most underrated "stuff" pitcher in baseball. He sits at 96 MPH and has a devastating slider that held righties to a .206/.273/.309 line last year. His 15-12 record last year keeps him underrated and his team's offense should be one of the best in the NL. Jimenez's talent is so electric that he will eventually become an overrated ace, even pitching in Denver. Until then, get this future Cy Young candidate at a discounted rate.

Brian Matusz (BAL): The O's have a notoriously difficult schedule to start the year (they play Tampa, Boston, and New York 18 times in their first 30 games). They'll start the year with a terrible record because of their ridiculous schedule and most squares will immediately write them off. This will create value. The one pitcher that will provide the most value from the O's is super prospect Brian Matusz. Matusz had mixed results in his first 8 major league starts, but ended the year allowing only 6 runs in his final 21 innings. As a lefty, he negates the short right field porches at Yankee Stadium and Fenway. You can't hope to win even half the games Matusz pitches, but the fat lines you'll be playing will make your plays profitable.

FADE

CC Sabathia (NYY): CC Sabathia is the Vegas odds favorite to win the AL CY Young, is coming off a World Series title, and is pitching for the team with the largest fan base in the country. Because of these factors, he will probably be overvalued in every start he makes this year. This will be most true early in the season. Over the last 3 years, CC is 5-6 in April with an ERA over 5. You have to take in account the fact that CC literally hibernates over the winter, so it's difficult to back into throwing shape after sleeping in a cave for three months. Oddsmakers will treat him like an ace in every one of his starts, but he'll pitch like a slowly waking grizzly bear. Fade the bear.

Scott Kazmir (LAA): Kazmir's name still has value to everyday fans. So does the Angels' logo. But both Kazmir and the Angels will disappoint this year, because the fact is they're just not that good. Kazmir's HR/9 is far below average and his K/9 is trending downward. With a reputation as a partier, Kazmir's late night behavior might be catching up to him. He's even been banged up this spring and was scratched from his last start with a sore shoulder. The offense backing him will be one of the worst the Angels have had in years. With a Vegas projection of 83 wins, LA will be worse than most squares expect. When Kazmir's taking the mound with a cranky shoulder, bruised ego, and wicked hangover, make sure you're betting his opponent.